08-07-2015, 23:14
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חבר מתאריך: 13.11.04
הודעות: 16,823
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Iraq Situation Report: July 02 - 06, 2015
http://www.understandingwar.org/sit...%202015-7-6.pdf
ISIS intensi ed its attacks against the ISF and Iraqi Shi’a militias in northern and western Iraq. In Baiji, norther Salah ad-Din, ISIS launched a successful counter attack that
reversed recent gains by Iranian proxy groups, along with a Shi’a armed groups a liated with the religious establishment of Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani (Hawza), and the
Iraqi Special Operations Forces (ISOF,) and the Federal Police (FP). Iranian proxy groups led the operation and a failure to hold their recent gains may provide the Iraqi
government with an opportunity to bolster ISF support in Baiji and establish dominance over the militias in northern Salah ad Din with the support of U.S. airstrikes. Allocation
of resources to counter-o ensives across multiple fronts is key for the ISF, however, as ISIS attacked on several other fronts over the last few days. Most notably, ISIS reportedly
conducted a major ground attack on areas southwest of Kirkuk city, which is likely to generate a strong Kurdish reaction that may translate to a more o ensive posture toward
areas controlled by ISIS in southwestern Kirkuk province, from where ISIS likely launched the attack. A previous Kurdish attempt at such an o ffensive proved insuffi cient,
partially because the area lies beyond Iraqi Kurdish majority territory, and likely because the Peshmerga has insu cient resources to deploy in Kirkuk without exposing other
areas to attacks by ISIS. ISIS’s attacks east and south of Mosul may have been probing attacks to test Kurdish response. In the west, the Anbar Operations Command declared a
new o ensive north of Fallujah, which ISIS attempted to disrupt by deploying SVBIEDs. is comes following an increase in operational tempo over the last four days as
militias and ISF made advanced near Fallujah, an area that was recently identi ed by the leader of Badr Organization as its next objective. However, an operation to recapture
Fallujah will most likely face similar challenges as previous operations to recapture cities long controlled by ISIS, such as IED rings and an entrenched enemy in and around the
city. In far western Iraq, ISIS launched a major attack targeting the Haditha Dam, which is one of few areas in Anbar that remain under the control of the ISF. Haditha has been
a nexus of cooperation between the ISF, Iraqi Sunni ghters, and the U.S.-led Coalition. e Haditha Dam is a signi cant infrastructure node that likely remains a priority for
the ISF to protect. e ISF, the Peshmerga, and anti-ISIS Iraqi tribal ghters also experienced several defensive successes over the reporting period by repelling attacks by ISIS.
In Kirkuk, Peshmerga forces used anti-tank rockets to repel ISIS SVBIEDs, a tactical advantage the ISF has also increasingly leveraging positively to repel ISIS SVBIEDs. In
Haditha, the ISF and local tribal ghters repelled six SVBIEDs amid continued ISIS pressure on Haditha district and following seven SVBIEDs the previous day. U.S.-led
Coalition airstrikes also continue to constitute an important advantage for the ISF. DoD con rmed 10 airstrikes in Fallujah over the reporting period amid heavy clashes and an
ISF-declared operation and as well as ve airstrikes “near Haditha” amid continued ISIS attacks
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